From: Edward J. McDonnell III, CFA
Date: Mon, Aug 16, 2010 at 12:45 AM
Subject: Reflections on USAID tour from Ned McDonnell
To:
Cc:
Philip and Jackie,
Please pardon the tardiness of this letter, requested by you Philip, as per his e-mail appended below. Jackie, Please pardon my not including you on earlier e-mails; I did not have your address. The following premisses -- perhaps what you are really seeking -- drove the lessons learned of rationalizing civilian reporting structures; restraints on further civilian projects; removing institutional frictions; and, focussing on everyday (i.e., common and cheap) programs with large legacies. The longer discussion on these lessons learned follows my signature.
• The United States Government (USG): the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (GIRoA); and the NATO / U.S.-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) are not succeeding in the counter-insurgency (COIN) in Afghanistan as evidenced by the problems encountered in Marjah, the delay in entering Kandahar and the dismissal of two ranking generals within a year.
• After nearly nine years of ISAF, the U.S. military as well as the USG and allied governments, almost every Afghan affected by this joint intervention has made up his mind about whether to embrace, accept or attack the foreign presence.
• The current end-sate for sustainable rule-of-law and development throughout Afghanistan is unattainable. It is wise to reserve limited means on areas where security permits capacity-building and capacity sticking to proceed. This may be only a quarter of the country; but that is a start.
• By reinforcing progressive, civilized behavior among beleaguered Afghans, conciliatory parties in contested areas will have ample incentive to re-take control of their villages. The costly part of this idea will be the expenses incurred to quarantine areas controlled by the AGE.
• A focus on the possible will free up USAID resources urgently needed elsewhere across the world while reducing incentives for corruption within and among the various levels of the GIRoA.
In closing this note, permit me to say that I am grateful to the United States Government for the opportunity to serve and for my German colleagues who helped make the short tour personally fulfilling. The timing of my departure reflects my inability to negotiate an extension from the Peace Corps; apparently, the work I will be doing is technical in nature. In the end, I either fulfilled my life-long --much procrastinated -- ambition or 'kiss it good-bye, forever'.
My appreciation of Messrs John CCCCCC and Matthew SSSSSS for their support of the women's rights program in Takhar remains sincere. My high regard remains firm for Mr Mark BBBBBBBBBBBBB -- one of the finest public officers with whom I have worked --for his facilitating the success of a lamentably truncated but deeply fulfilling tour with USAID.
Sincerely,
Ned McDonnell
Peace Corps-Mexico
Personal line: 860-690-1740
LESSONS LEARNED
LESSON #1: UNIFY the CIVILIAN CHAIN of COMMAND DIRECTLY UNDER the STATE DEPARTMENT (DoS).
That means integrate USAID into the DoS under the policy leadership of the Secretary of State and place all other civilian detachments (including the intelligence agencies), particularly those in conflict zones, under the direct authority of the United States Embassy. Like it or not, whole of government efforts entail institutional negotiations to reconcile differing visions of unstable, unclear situations. Consensus, at least in the field, is rare. Our military counterparts possess tremendous bargaining power for two reasons, the lesser important of which is funding.
The larger source of military leverage lies in its unification of the chains of command of at least four, likely more, cabinet-level institutions -- namely, the Army, Navy, Air Force and the former War Department (now the Office of the Secretary of Defense, or OSD) into the Department of Defense (DoD). The fragmentation of the civilian chain of command among the DoS, Treasury Department, USAID, the USDA, the Commerce Department et al. serves to dissipate the bargaining power of the civilian chain.
The break-down in accountability that follows -- best articulated as "I am with XYZ agency and don't report to State" -- coddles mediocrity of execution and circumvention of USG or GIRoA policies or preferences. The proposed unification of civilian reporting chains may appear threatening to some of my friends in USAID. I would submit, however, that the promotion of centralized accountability can permit de-centralized decision-making without the damage done by people placing personal preferences ahead of policy guidance.
Lastly, whether I deplore what I deem to be the pitfalls of American diplomacy as a USAID 'type' or not, I am still responsible to the DoS since my actions affect, and represent an extension of, diplomatic initiatives on the national level. As things stand now, the disparity of bargaining power between DoD on the one side and rivalling civilian agencies on the other forfeits too much initiative to the military. This vacuum of USG diplomacy has led to the military's appropriating civilian functions. This encroachment on civilian functions -- due to civilian weakness -- hurts the USG and muddles the military mission.
LESSON #2: DE-OBLIGATE or SUSPEND / CANCEL FUNDING of ALL USAID MISSIONS, NOW!
The current skew of development resources to Afghanistan neglects urgent development needs elsewhere and promotes corruption within the GIRoA at the national and sub-national levels. The excess funding in AGE-controlled areas in the South and the East appears to be ineffective. With ISAF in Afghanistan for nine years, painting a mosque will hardly change minds or win hearts.
Afghans have drawn their own conclusions by now and little, if anything, will change their acceptance of, or antipathy toward, the coalition presence. More money catalyzes an effort to "grab all funding" possible while it still lasts a little longer.
In view of the current size of the field-staff truly equipped to handle these funds, excess commitments are breaking down the disciplines of due-diligence and monitoring rightfully expected by U.S. tax-payers. We would all regret seeing good public servants damaged by future auditing reports that will effectively change the ground rules retro-actively.
All short-term stabilization programs of USAID really ought to be cancelled in favor of the military having adequate funding under the Commander's Emergency Response Program during upcoming clearing operations.
These funds can be devoted to consequence management to promote the safety and welfare of American troops in the field. In short, the U.S. Army and Marines need to concern themselves with military considerations in the short-term so muscular clearing of very difficult areas has a a chance to succeed.
Suspended funding will define clearly contested areas as candidates for clearing or, more likely, quarantining the AGE. After a nine-year presence of U.S. military personnel, investing in contested areas at this point simply reinforces bad behavior.
As the mid-2011 date for commencing the U.S. draw-down approaches, USAID and other agencies should begin to focus on sustainably secure areas, no matter how few in number. Instead of front-ending billions that the USG does not have, placing a reasonable amount of funding into a dedicated account for funding long-term development in Afghanistan is cost-efficient, conforms to U.S. standards of conduct avoids creating a 'beggar-ecomy'.
LESSON #3: DE-LINK USAID DEVELOPMENT and MILITARY 'BATTLE RHYTHMS'.
USAID needs to pursue its traditional mission in other regions currently neglected by the ongoing over-allocation of resources to Afghanistan. Furthermore, the COIN formula of shape-clear-hold-build is sequenced for a reason. The military's primary mission lies in the clear and hold phases. The USG's traditional development activities focus on long-term 'build' projects.
The two commands share an interest in the 'shape' (i.e., planning) phase to map out when civilian USG and military agencies assume logical primacies of command. As matters unfold presently, the forced synchronization of battle rhythms and COIN phases confuses people, diminishes whole-of-government effectiveness and contributes to disappointment with unmet (often unrealistic) expectations, cessation of open dialogue and lower morale.
LESSON #4: FOCUS on the TRUE BATTLE-FIELD: the FUTURE!
Viet Nam has matured into a thriving nation over the last thirty-five years. Notwithstanding military defeat of the U.S. interests in 1975, the seeds planted by decade-long American presence and culture have borne the bear fruit for which the greatest generation desperately hoped in the 1960s and 1970s. The process is likely to take more than two generations, if it ever occurs, in Afghanistan.
Nevertheless, the legacy left by the USG will shape the way rising Afghan generations view their prospects and society. That means remembering that the battlefield is not a particular village, tribe, city, valley, province or road-way. It remains the future. Inexpensive programs can innovate the future for Afghans. For example, addressing the increasing abuse of drugs in the Af-Pak region is important but trivialized.
Self-help groups are more effective than all the millions spent on cash-for-work. Teaching people to read the Qu'ran in vernacular creates an incentive to overcome the culture of poverty (where literacy is not valued) and diminishes the influence of mullahs since they now are the Qu'ran as the illiterate faithful know it.
One potentially pricey measure is to plan for internally displaced women with children. The Western Powers have an acutely evident moral obligation to protect women -- and the children -- who assert their God-endowed rights in the face of a severely misogynist and brutally sexist culture, particularly in Taliban-controlled areas in the South and East.
Date: Mon, Aug 16, 2010 at 12:45 AM
Subject: Reflections on USAID tour from Ned McDonnell
To:
Cc:
Philip and Jackie,
Please pardon the tardiness of this letter, requested by you Philip, as per his e-mail appended below. Jackie, Please pardon my not including you on earlier e-mails; I did not have your address. The following premisses -- perhaps what you are really seeking -- drove the lessons learned of rationalizing civilian reporting structures; restraints on further civilian projects; removing institutional frictions; and, focussing on everyday (i.e., common and cheap) programs with large legacies. The longer discussion on these lessons learned follows my signature.
• The United States Government (USG): the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (GIRoA); and the NATO / U.S.-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) are not succeeding in the counter-insurgency (COIN) in Afghanistan as evidenced by the problems encountered in Marjah, the delay in entering Kandahar and the dismissal of two ranking generals within a year.
• After nearly nine years of ISAF, the U.S. military as well as the USG and allied governments, almost every Afghan affected by this joint intervention has made up his mind about whether to embrace, accept or attack the foreign presence.
• The current end-sate for sustainable rule-of-law and development throughout Afghanistan is unattainable. It is wise to reserve limited means on areas where security permits capacity-building and capacity sticking to proceed. This may be only a quarter of the country; but that is a start.
• By reinforcing progressive, civilized behavior among beleaguered Afghans, conciliatory parties in contested areas will have ample incentive to re-take control of their villages. The costly part of this idea will be the expenses incurred to quarantine areas controlled by the AGE.
• A focus on the possible will free up USAID resources urgently needed elsewhere across the world while reducing incentives for corruption within and among the various levels of the GIRoA.
In closing this note, permit me to say that I am grateful to the United States Government for the opportunity to serve and for my German colleagues who helped make the short tour personally fulfilling. The timing of my departure reflects my inability to negotiate an extension from the Peace Corps; apparently, the work I will be doing is technical in nature. In the end, I either fulfilled my life-long --much procrastinated -- ambition or 'kiss it good-bye, forever'.
My appreciation of Messrs John CCCCCC and Matthew SSSSSS for their support of the women's rights program in Takhar remains sincere. My high regard remains firm for Mr Mark BBBBBBBBBBBBB -- one of the finest public officers with whom I have worked --for his facilitating the success of a lamentably truncated but deeply fulfilling tour with USAID.
Sincerely,
Ned McDonnell
Peace Corps-Mexico
Personal line: 860-690-1740
LESSONS LEARNED
LESSON #1: UNIFY the CIVILIAN CHAIN of COMMAND DIRECTLY UNDER the STATE DEPARTMENT (DoS).
That means integrate USAID into the DoS under the policy leadership of the Secretary of State and place all other civilian detachments (including the intelligence agencies), particularly those in conflict zones, under the direct authority of the United States Embassy. Like it or not, whole of government efforts entail institutional negotiations to reconcile differing visions of unstable, unclear situations. Consensus, at least in the field, is rare. Our military counterparts possess tremendous bargaining power for two reasons, the lesser important of which is funding.
The larger source of military leverage lies in its unification of the chains of command of at least four, likely more, cabinet-level institutions -- namely, the Army, Navy, Air Force and the former War Department (now the Office of the Secretary of Defense, or OSD) into the Department of Defense (DoD). The fragmentation of the civilian chain of command among the DoS, Treasury Department, USAID, the USDA, the Commerce Department et al. serves to dissipate the bargaining power of the civilian chain.
The break-down in accountability that follows -- best articulated as "I am with XYZ agency and don't report to State" -- coddles mediocrity of execution and circumvention of USG or GIRoA policies or preferences. The proposed unification of civilian reporting chains may appear threatening to some of my friends in USAID. I would submit, however, that the promotion of centralized accountability can permit de-centralized decision-making without the damage done by people placing personal preferences ahead of policy guidance.
Lastly, whether I deplore what I deem to be the pitfalls of American diplomacy as a USAID 'type' or not, I am still responsible to the DoS since my actions affect, and represent an extension of, diplomatic initiatives on the national level. As things stand now, the disparity of bargaining power between DoD on the one side and rivalling civilian agencies on the other forfeits too much initiative to the military. This vacuum of USG diplomacy has led to the military's appropriating civilian functions. This encroachment on civilian functions -- due to civilian weakness -- hurts the USG and muddles the military mission.
LESSON #2: DE-OBLIGATE or SUSPEND / CANCEL FUNDING of ALL USAID MISSIONS, NOW!
The current skew of development resources to Afghanistan neglects urgent development needs elsewhere and promotes corruption within the GIRoA at the national and sub-national levels. The excess funding in AGE-controlled areas in the South and the East appears to be ineffective. With ISAF in Afghanistan for nine years, painting a mosque will hardly change minds or win hearts.
Afghans have drawn their own conclusions by now and little, if anything, will change their acceptance of, or antipathy toward, the coalition presence. More money catalyzes an effort to "grab all funding" possible while it still lasts a little longer.
In view of the current size of the field-staff truly equipped to handle these funds, excess commitments are breaking down the disciplines of due-diligence and monitoring rightfully expected by U.S. tax-payers. We would all regret seeing good public servants damaged by future auditing reports that will effectively change the ground rules retro-actively.
All short-term stabilization programs of USAID really ought to be cancelled in favor of the military having adequate funding under the Commander's Emergency Response Program during upcoming clearing operations.
These funds can be devoted to consequence management to promote the safety and welfare of American troops in the field. In short, the U.S. Army and Marines need to concern themselves with military considerations in the short-term so muscular clearing of very difficult areas has a a chance to succeed.
Suspended funding will define clearly contested areas as candidates for clearing or, more likely, quarantining the AGE. After a nine-year presence of U.S. military personnel, investing in contested areas at this point simply reinforces bad behavior.
As the mid-2011 date for commencing the U.S. draw-down approaches, USAID and other agencies should begin to focus on sustainably secure areas, no matter how few in number. Instead of front-ending billions that the USG does not have, placing a reasonable amount of funding into a dedicated account for funding long-term development in Afghanistan is cost-efficient, conforms to U.S. standards of conduct avoids creating a 'beggar-ecomy'.
LESSON #3: DE-LINK USAID DEVELOPMENT and MILITARY 'BATTLE RHYTHMS'.
USAID needs to pursue its traditional mission in other regions currently neglected by the ongoing over-allocation of resources to Afghanistan. Furthermore, the COIN formula of shape-clear-hold-build is sequenced for a reason. The military's primary mission lies in the clear and hold phases. The USG's traditional development activities focus on long-term 'build' projects.
The two commands share an interest in the 'shape' (i.e., planning) phase to map out when civilian USG and military agencies assume logical primacies of command. As matters unfold presently, the forced synchronization of battle rhythms and COIN phases confuses people, diminishes whole-of-government effectiveness and contributes to disappointment with unmet (often unrealistic) expectations, cessation of open dialogue and lower morale.
LESSON #4: FOCUS on the TRUE BATTLE-FIELD: the FUTURE!
Viet Nam has matured into a thriving nation over the last thirty-five years. Notwithstanding military defeat of the U.S. interests in 1975, the seeds planted by decade-long American presence and culture have borne the bear fruit for which the greatest generation desperately hoped in the 1960s and 1970s. The process is likely to take more than two generations, if it ever occurs, in Afghanistan.
Nevertheless, the legacy left by the USG will shape the way rising Afghan generations view their prospects and society. That means remembering that the battlefield is not a particular village, tribe, city, valley, province or road-way. It remains the future. Inexpensive programs can innovate the future for Afghans. For example, addressing the increasing abuse of drugs in the Af-Pak region is important but trivialized.
Self-help groups are more effective than all the millions spent on cash-for-work. Teaching people to read the Qu'ran in vernacular creates an incentive to overcome the culture of poverty (where literacy is not valued) and diminishes the influence of mullahs since they now are the Qu'ran as the illiterate faithful know it.
One potentially pricey measure is to plan for internally displaced women with children. The Western Powers have an acutely evident moral obligation to protect women -- and the children -- who assert their God-endowed rights in the face of a severely misogynist and brutally sexist culture, particularly in Taliban-controlled areas in the South and East.
